Mock: McGahee Available In Round 3?
May 10, 2008 at 7:16 am | Article by Paul Hickey |
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After sharing round one with you earlier in the week, and round two yesterday, I’ve decided to go ahead and continue to break down the recent expert mock draft I participated in. The shockers continue, as I have to make a tough decision between Willis McGahee and Marques Colston in round three.
The following mock draft is based on this scoring system - 4 points for passing TDs, 6 points for TDs, 1 point per 10 yards rushing and/or receiving, 1 point per 20 yards passing, 1 point per reception and basic team defense scoring. There are 12 teams in this league, and each team must start 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, 1 PK, 1 D/ST.
Team 1 (25th overall) - Carson Palmer, Bengals QB -This was a great opportunity for an owner who already had LaDainian Tomlinson and Jamal Lewis on his squad, to take a top tier WR like Marques Coslton or Larry Fitzgerald. Instead, he took an average fantasy starting QB in Carson Palmer, who happens to play in an offense that is becoming more anemic every year. Cincy needs to add pop to the run game before Palmer becomes an elite fantasy QB. Right now, he’s just average. Bad pick.
Team 2 (Paul Hickey) (26th overall) - Willis McGahee, Ravens RB -Wow. I’m sitting here in round three, with Adrian Peterson and Reggie Wayne on my squad, needing to select between Willis McGahee - who I believe is a late first round pick at worst - and WRs like Fitz and Colston. So, pay attention, because my logic here will help you in your drafts, guaranteed. Accessing the situation, it looks like either Brandon Marshall or Anquan Boldin will fall to me at my next pick. How do I know this? Because looking at the rosters of all of the other teams in the league thus far, helps me predict what they’re going to do with their next two picks. Taking McGahee at this point allows me to lock up my starting backfield with two first round picks. In Cam Cameron’s offense, McGahee should catch around five balls a game. He won’t lose touches to clear back-up Ray Rice, whom I can handcuff him with in the last couple rounds. By the way, I was able to secure Boldin in round four - somehow.
Team 3 (27th overall) - Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals WR - A solid pick, Fitz is a solid second rounder in 12 team leagues that fell into round three. Arizona’s offense should be very friendly to him for a fourth straight season, resulting in him likely being a top five fantasy WR.
Team 4 (28th overall) - Kellen Winslow, Browns TE -The same owner who started Tom Brady-Reggie Bush, has again thrown us a curve ball, selecting Kellen Winslow in round four, before taking a WR. Now, before I hate on this selection, I will say that adding a top TE here, thinking about teir two producers like Lee Evans, Donald Driver and Chris Chambers later on isn’t a horrible idea. The only problem now is that he still only has one RB, so that need has to be addressed in the next round, otherwise he’ll be stuck with scraps. This team is destined for average WRs and an average RB2, which isn’t great.
Team 5 (29th overall) - Steve Smith, Carolina WR -Smith is a great value here, especially with Jake Delhomme likely coming back healthy, and a revamped supporting cast consisting of D.J. Hackett, Muhsin Muhammad, Jeff Otah and Jonathan Stewart.
Team 6 (30th overall) - Marques Colston, Saints WR -Colston, like Smith, is a great value here. He quietly had a phenomenal sophomore season, and with Sean Payton and Drew Brees anxious to continue to sling the rock around even more in 2008, look for Colston to be a stud WR yet again. He’s a can’t miss prospect at this point in the draft.
Team 7 (31st overall) - Willie Parker, Steelers RB -Ouch. Did this guy see the NFL Draft? Sorry man, but the Steelers will play Rashard Mendenhall, making Parker’s value no better than an RB3. I know what this owner is thinking - that he’s a value here, but not quite. For the first time in a couple years, Parker has a ceiling. Don’t take a guy with a ceiling as one of your starters. This pick should have been either Ronnie Brown or Laurence Maroney.
Team 8 (32nd overall) - Laurence Maroney, Patriots RB -I’m REALLY starting to like this guy’s team. After taking Randy Moss in round one, he snagged Marshawn Lynch in round two and possibly the steal of the draft with Maroney in round three. The Patriots should feature him a lot more in 2008, and look for him to get a lot of goal line opportunities early on in the season.
Team 9 (33rd overall) - Jason Witten, Cowboys TE -Another owner drafting a TE before they have even one WR. This could be a trend to look for in a lot of 2008 drafts. Overall, I can’t say much negative about this pick. I really like Witten, and this owner happened to get the top TE in the draft after two of them were already off the board.
Team 10 (34th overall) - T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals WR -Great value here. Housh should have a statistical season similar to that of last year, so in the third round, this is a great pick.
Team 11 (35th overall) - Ronnie Brown, Dolphins RB -If Brown comes back fully healthy, this will end up being the value of the draft. There’s still cause for concern as he recovers from the ACL tear, and Bill Parcells has been known to play mind games with his young, talented running backs. Good thing Tony Sparano is the head coach. Brown should be in for a huge year in 2008.
Team 12 (36th overall) - Edgerrin James, Cardinals RB -After going with Braylon Edwards in round one and Antonio Gates in round two, the running back selection is slim at the end of round three. With Michael Turner, Julius Jones, Thomas Jones and Darren McFadden all still on the board, James - who is slowing down - may not have been the smartest pick here. Edge can still produce, but - like Parker - he has a ceiling, and we’re not too high on him. In hindsight, this owner could have had Clinton Portis and Marshawn Lynch heading into round three, then drafted either Brandon Marshall, Wes Welker, Chad Johnson, Anquan Boldin or Plaxico Burress here. Which would you rather do?
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